Lewes vs Corinthian-Casuals analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
24.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
LEW
2 - 3
CRA
29%
24%
48%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
EAS
1 - 0
LEW
69%
17%
13%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
LEW
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
BRI
2 - 3
LEW
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
LEW
1 - 2
BOW
29%
25%
47%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Corinthian-Casuals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
COR
0 - 1
FOL
14%
18%
67%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
KIN
3 - 0
COR
58%
22%
20%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
COR
1 - 2
HOR
20%
22%
59%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
COR
0 - 0
POT
34%
24%
42%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
COR
2 - 0
CHM
16%
21%
63%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +4 |