Lewes vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
HEN
2 - 2
LEW
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
HOR
0 - 1
LEW
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LEW
2 - 1
BIL
37%
27%
37%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
LEW
1 - 0
MET
32%
26%
43%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LOW
3 - 1
LEW
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
AVE
1 - 1
LEA
28%
24%
48%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
AVE
3 - 3
CON
21%
23%
56%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 1
AVE
69%
19%
13%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 0
AVE
43%
24%
32%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
AVE
0 - 0
KIN
23%
24%
53%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |