UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 4-2
Levadia vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2002 |
UDL
0 - 3
LEV
44%
25%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2002 |
TVM
6 - 0
LEV
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2002 |
LEV
3 - 0
TUL
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2002 |
LEV
0 - 3
LEV
7%
17%
77%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2002 |
LEV
1 - 1
FLO
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2002 |
UDL
0 - 3
LEV
44%
25%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
VIT
2 - 4
UDL
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
UDL
4 - 1
FAR
68%
20%
11%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
GFC
0 - 0
UDL
41%
27%
33%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
SAL
0 - 1
UDL
35%
27%
39%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |