Levadia vs Paide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
87
1º
2º
1º
72
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TAL
0 - 2
LEV
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
KUR
0 - 6
LEV
20%
24%
56%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LEV
6 - 0
TRA
79%
15%
6%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 2
LEV
11%
17%
72%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 3
FTK
57%
22%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PAI
2 - 1
FLO
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PAI
3 - 1
NOM
59%
20%
20%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 3
PAI
17%
24%
59%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 1
PAI
32%
24%
44%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 0
FKJ
75%
15%
10%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |