Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 0-1
Levadia vs Differdange 03 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
LEV
3 - 2
SIK
73%
17%
11%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
DIF
0 - 0
LEV
33%
23%
43%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
KUR
0 - 2
LEV
7%
16%
77%
|
77 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
AJA
1 - 4
LEV
9%
17%
74%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2011 |
LEV
2 - 1
VIL
82%
13%
5%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
DIF
0 - 0
LEV
33%
23%
43%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
F91
0 - 1
DIF
64%
19%
17%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
RAC
0 - 2
DIF
29%
24%
47%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
F91
3 - 4
DIF
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
DIF
3 - 0
SWI
72%
18%
11%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |