Leonidas vs Nieuwenhoorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leonidas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
DEL
2 - 4
LEO
61%
21%
19%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
LEO
2 - 0
ADO
27%
25%
48%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +4 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
LEO
0 - 0
ELI
40%
24%
37%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SCF
3 - 2
LEO
61%
22%
18%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
LEO
1 - 0
JOS
50%
24%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nieuwenhoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NIE
3 - 1
ADO
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
NIE
1 - 3
ALP
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
NIE
66%
20%
15%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
IFC
0 - 0
NIE
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
NIE
1 - 1
WES
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |