Leones Negros II vs Tigres de Álica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+206%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
5º
9º
5º
14
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 21 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
RAF
3 - 1
LEO
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
LEO
3 - 1
CIM
14%
23%
63%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
EST
2 - 1
LEO
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2025 |
LCU
2 - 0
LEO
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
LEO
2 - 1
ZAC
30%
26%
45%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Tigres de Álica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
TDA
2 - 0
ADG
41%
22%
37%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
TRI
2 - 1
TDA
67%
20%
13%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
TDA
3 - 2
LCU
21%
24%
55%
|
32 | 65 | 33 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
TDA
1 - 2
RAF
24%
24%
52%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CIM
2 - 0
TDA
70%
19%
11%
|
33 | 74 | 41 | 0 |