Leones vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
46.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
COR
1 - 0
LEO
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 1
REA
37%
29%
34%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
LEO
45%
26%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
LEO
0 - 0
CHI
27%
28%
46%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
RSC
1 - 1
LEO
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 0
CAR
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BJC
0 - 2
UNI
19%
27%
54%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 0
COR
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
REA
3 - 3
UNI
34%
27%
38%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 1
FOR
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |