Leoben vs Sturm Graz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leoben
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
FCB
2 - 1
LBN
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
LBN
1 - 3
WAC
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
WEI
2 - 1
LBN
25%
24%
50%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
LBN
1 - 0
VOI
62%
21%
16%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
ALL
1 - 0
LBN
20%
24%
57%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
SVP
2 - 1
STU
82%
13%
5%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
STU
2 - 1
SCL
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
AUS
3 - 0
STU
19%
23%
58%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
STU
3 - 1
12%
22%
66%
|
42 | 81 | 39 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
STU
0 - 3
STF
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -2 |