Lens vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
48%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
NÎM
3 - 3
LEN
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
USB
1 - 1
LEN
24%
23%
53%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
LEN
2 - 1
AUX
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
TOU
4 - 2
LEN
28%
26%
47%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
LEN
1 - 0
PFC
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
ASS
1 - 2
GIR
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 1
ASS
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
AND
0 - 7
ASS
8%
19%
73%
|
81 | 43 | 38 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
ASS
5 - 0
LIL
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
ASS
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |