Lens II vs Le Mans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
53.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
LEN
3 - 0
LIL
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 2
LEN
26%
27%
47%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
AAC
2 - 1
LEN
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
LEN
0 - 1
DIE
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
LEN
3 - 2
IVR
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2013 |
LMU
2 - 1
LEN
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
MON
2 - 1
LMU
70%
20%
10%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
LMU
0 - 4
LHA
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
GAZ
1 - 3
LMU
37%
28%
36%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
LMU
0 - 0
ARL
42%
28%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |