Leiston vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leiston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
WOR
1 - 3
LEI
40%
24%
37%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
LEI
1 - 1
CAN
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
KIN
1 - 0
LEI
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LEI
4 - 2
FAR
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
LEI
0 - 3
EAS
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
HAR
6 - 2
MER
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MER
0 - 0
HAR
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
DUL
4 - 0
MER
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MER
1 - 0
HEN
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
HAR
0 - 2
MER
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |