Leioa vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leioa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
LEI
0 - 1
SDA
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
ARE
1 - 1
LEI
41%
27%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
LEI
3 - 1
BAR
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
RUN
1 - 3
LEI
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
LEI
2 - 2
CDV
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
ARE
0 - 0
GER
47%
26%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
GER
1 - 0
RUN
48%
27%
26%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
RSO
0 - 1
GER
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
GER
0 - 1
UDL
34%
30%
36%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
TUD
1 - 2
GER
44%
29%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |