Leioa vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leioa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
SDA
1 - 3
LEI
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
LEI
2 - 0
RUN
42%
27%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
RSO
1 - 3
LEI
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
LEI
1 - 1
RMC
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CDM
1 - 2
LEI
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ALB
3 - 2
GER
73%
19%
8%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
GER
0 - 0
SDA
44%
27%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
RUN
2 - 2
GER
58%
25%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
GER
0 - 0
RSO
30%
28%
42%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
RMC
0 - 0
GER
76%
16%
9%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |