Leioa vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leioa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
LEI
64%
22%
14%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LEI
2 - 3
GUA
25%
27%
48%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
FUE
0 - 2
LEI
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LEI
2 - 0
GET
27%
25%
47%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
UDS
2 - 1
LEI
63%
21%
15%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
GER
4 - 1
POR
50%
26%
25%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
GER
3 - 1
CDM
57%
25%
18%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
4 - 0
GER
62%
24%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
GER
0 - 0
GUA
24%
27%
49%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
FUE
1 - 0
GER
59%
24%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |