National League Round 6

Leigh vs Forest Green Rovers analysis

Leigh Forest Green Rovers
38 ELO 42
11% Tilt 1.4%
20209º General ELO ranking 3315º
933º Country ELO ranking 86º
ELO win probability
36.3%
Leigh
25.5%
Draw
38.3%
Forest Green Rovers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
Leigh
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
38.3%
Win probability
Forest Green Rovers
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Leigh
Forest Green Rovers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Leigh
Leigh
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Aug. 2004
MOR
Morecambe
2 - 1
Leigh
LEI
78%
15%
7%
37 56 19 0
28 Aug. 2004
LEI
Leigh
0 - 3
FC Halifax Town
HAL
42%
26%
32%
38 45 7 -1
21 Aug. 2004
WOK
Woking
1 - 0
Leigh
LEI
72%
18%
11%
39 52 13 -1
17 Aug. 2004
BUR
Burton Albion
0 - 0
Leigh
LEI
66%
19%
14%
38 48 10 +1
14 Aug. 2004
LEI
Leigh
1 - 2
Crawley Town
CRA
32%
24%
44%
38 49 11 0

Matches

Forest Green Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Aug. 2004
FOR
Forest Green Rovers
1 - 5
Ebbsfleet United
EBB
33%
25%
42%
45 57 12 0
28 Aug. 2004
TAM
Tamworth
4 - 0
Forest Green Rovers
FOR
55%
22%
23%
46 49 3 -1
21 Aug. 2004
FOR
Forest Green Rovers
0 - 3
Carlisle United
CUM
41%
26%
33%
48 52 4 -2
17 Aug. 2004
FOR
Forest Green Rovers
1 - 4
Dagenham & Redbridge
DAG
39%
25%
36%
49 55 6 -1
14 Aug. 2004
BAR
Barnet
3 - 1
Forest Green Rovers
FOR
53%
24%
22%
49 55 6 0