Leicester vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1958 |
BOL
2 - 3
LEI
60%
19%
21%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1957 |
LEI
3 - 0
LEE
64%
18%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1957 |
LEI
2 - 1
BPO
49%
22%
29%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1957 |
BPO
5 - 1
LEI
64%
18%
18%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1957 |
MUD
4 - 0
LEI
76%
14%
10%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1958 |
ARS
2 - 3
BPO
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1957 |
LUT
4 - 0
ARS
46%
23%
31%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1957 |
ASV
3 - 0
ARS
46%
23%
31%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1957 |
ARS
3 - 0
SUN
64%
18%
18%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1957 |
ARS
4 - 2
PNE
50%
22%
28%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |