Leicester vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
35.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1954 |
WBA
6 - 4
LEI
69%
17%
14%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1954 |
LEI
3 - 2
NEW
47%
23%
30%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1954 |
LEI
2 - 2
BUR
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1954 |
EVE
2 - 2
LEI
58%
21%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1954 |
BUR
3 - 1
LEI
57%
22%
22%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1954 |
ARS
4 - 0
BUR
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1954 |
PNE
3 - 1
ARS
62%
19%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1954 |
ARS
2 - 3
MAC
74%
14%
11%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1954 |
ARS
4 - 0
SHE
75%
14%
11%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1954 |
MAC
2 - 1
ARS
46%
23%
32%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |