Segunda B Play-Offs Quarter-finals
Global 2-7
Leganés vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
40.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
CIU
1 - 1
LEG
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
LEG
1 - 1
LPA
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ATB
0 - 0
LEG
44%
27%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ULP
0 - 0
LEG
36%
29%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
LEG
2 - 0
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
POL
23%
29%
49%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 0
RJA
40%
28%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
RJA
0 - 1
CAD
22%
28%
50%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
BET
1 - 2
RJA
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
RVB
1 - 4
RJA
8%
19%
73%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |