Tercera División RFEF VII - Region of Madrid Round 21

Leganés B vs Galapagar analysis

Leganés B Galapagar
43 ELO 38
-17.3% Tilt -8.2%
6159º General ELO ranking 7852º
236º Country ELO ranking 370º
ELO win probability
56.6%
Leganés B
23.8%
Draw
19.5%
Galapagar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
Leganés B
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.5%
Win probability
Galapagar
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Leganés B
-5%
-11%
Galapagar

Points and table prediction

Leganés B
Their league position
Galapagar
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
13º
54
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
RSD Alcalá
75
75
100%
Rayo Vallecano B
61
61
100%
AD Torrejón CF
58
58
100%
SAD Villaverde
54
54
0%
Las Rozas
54
54
100%
Galapagar
54
54
0%
Atlético C
52
52
100%
Leganés B
51
51
100%
Alcorcón B
47
47
100%
Trival Valderas
10º
46
46
10º
100%
CDF Tres Cantos
11º
45
45
11º
100%
RCD Carabanchel
12º
42
42
12º
0%
México FC
13º
42
42
13º
0%
Cala Pozuelo
14º
38
38
14º
0%
AD Parla
15º
38
38
15º
0%
Aravaca
16º
35
35
16º
100%
CD Canillas
17º
23
23
17º
100%
El Álamo
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Leganés B
Galapagar
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Leganés B
Galapagar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Leganés B
Leganés B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Feb. 2025
VAL
Trival Valderas
1 - 1
Leganés B
LEG
19%
24%
57%
44 33 11 0
26 Jan. 2025
LEG
Leganés B
1 - 0
Aravaca
ARA
69%
19%
12%
44 31 13 0
18 Jan. 2025
MEX
México FC
1 - 2
Leganés B
LEG
24%
23%
54%
43 33 10 +1
12 Jan. 2025
ADP
AD Parla
1 - 3
Leganés B
LEG
13%
20%
68%
42 24 18 +1
21 Dec. 2024
LEG
Leganés B
1 - 2
SAD Villaverde
VIL
69%
19%
13%
43 30 13 -1

Matches

Galapagar
Galapagar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Feb. 2025
GAL
Galapagar
1 - 1
CDF Tres Cantos
TRC
56%
21%
23%
37 35 2 0
26 Jan. 2025
CAR
RCD Carabanchel
2 - 0
Galapagar
GAL
23%
24%
53%
38 28 10 -1
19 Jan. 2025
GAL
Galapagar
1 - 0
El Álamo
ALA
79%
13%
8%
38 24 14 0
12 Jan. 2025
GAL
Galapagar
2 - 1
Atlético C
ATM
53%
22%
24%
37 37 0 +1
22 Dec. 2024
CPO
Cala Pozuelo
2 - 3
Galapagar
GAL
25%
23%
52%
36 25 11 +1