Leeuwarder Zwaluwen vs Gorecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
22.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
7º
13º
11º
24
5º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18% | 70.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeuwarder Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PEL
7 - 2
LEE
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LEE
2 - 2
WIN
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
VVG
5 - 5
LEE
33%
21%
46%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
LEE
9 - 1
VVG
60%
20%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
WIN
0 - 3
LEE
54%
21%
25%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gorecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GOR
3 - 1
TFE
89%
8%
3%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BRO
0 - 1
GOR
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GOR
0 - 4
ORA
19%
18%
63%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
WIN
3 - 2
GOR
69%
17%
15%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
GOR
0 - 3
BRO
49%
21%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |