Leeuwarder Zwaluwen vs FVC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
7.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
7º
13º
11º
13
3º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeuwarder Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
HOO
3 - 2
LEE
61%
19%
20%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
TFE
5 - 1
LEE
29%
21%
49%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LEE
2 - 4
BRO
21%
21%
58%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ORA
3 - 0
LEE
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 0
LEE
38%
22%
41%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
FVC
2 - 3
TFE
18%
18%
64%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
BRO
7 - 0
FVC
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FVC
1 - 7
ORA
10%
16%
75%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PKC
8 - 2
FVC
89%
8%
4%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PEL
3 - 0
FVC
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | 0 |