Leeds United vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1976 |
TOT
1 - 0
LEE
46%
25%
29%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
LEE
2 - 0
DER
51%
24%
25%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
COV
4 - 2
LEE
35%
27%
37%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1976 |
BIR
0 - 0
LEE
40%
26%
34%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
LEE
2 - 2
WBA
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1976 |
NEW
2 - 2
MUD
55%
23%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
MID
1 - 0
NEW
44%
27%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
NEW
0 - 0
BRI
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
TOT
0 - 2
NEW
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
NEW
2 - 2
DER
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | +1 |