Leeds United vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
12.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
STO
1 - 3
LEE
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
LEE
1 - 1
LEI
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
MKD
3 - 1
LEE
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
LEE
1 - 2
COL
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
TRA
2 - 1
LEE
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
OLD
0 - 0
CUM
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
CUM
3 - 0
HUR
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
NOR
1 - 0
CUM
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
CUM
1 - 2
LEI
28%
26%
45%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
SWI
1 - 1
CUM
54%
24%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |