Lech Poznań vs Widzew Łódź analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
11.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
3º
17º
3º
41
2º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 33 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
GDA
0 - 3
LPO
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
LPO
1 - 0
PGL
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
F91
1 - 1
LPO
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
LPO
2 - 0
F91
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
LPO
0 - 1
SLA
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Widzew Łódź
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
KAL
5 - 5
WLO
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
WLO
2 - 1
PLO
19%
23%
58%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
WAR
0 - 1
WLO
59%
25%
17%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
WLO
1 - 2
WAR
23%
26%
51%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SLA
0 - 0
WLO
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |