Super Cup Poland Final

Lech Poznań vs Legia Warszawa analysis

Lech Poznań Legia Warszawa
77 ELO 79
6.5% Tilt -3.7%
786º General ELO ranking 777º
17º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
41.9%
Lech Poznań
23.3%
Draw
34.7%
Legia Warszawa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
Lech Poznań
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
34.8%
Win probability
Legia Warszawa
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lech Poznań
+11%
+11%
Legia Warszawa

ELO progression

Lech Poznań
Legia Warszawa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lech Poznań
Lech Poznań
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jul. 2025
LPO
Lech Poznań
0 - 1
Teplice
TEP
41%
24%
35%
78 80 2 0
05 Jul. 2025
LPO
Lech Poznań
1 - 2
Baník Ostrava
BAN
37%
25%
38%
78 83 5 0
28 Jun. 2025
LPO
Lech Poznań
2 - 1
Chrobry Głogów
CHR
60%
21%
19%
78 72 6 0
24 May. 2025
LPO
Lech Poznań
1 - 0
Piast Gliwice
PGL
50%
25%
25%
78 78 0 0
18 May. 2025
GKS
GKS Katowice
2 - 2
Lech Poznań
LPO
45%
26%
29%
78 78 0 0

Matches

Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jul. 2025
WAR
Legia Warszawa
1 - 0
FC Aktobe
FCA
53%
22%
24%
78 76 2 0
04 Jul. 2025
WAR
Legia Warszawa
5 - 1
Górnik Łęczna
GOR
41%
24%
35%
78 81 3 0
30 Jun. 2025
WAR
Legia Warszawa
1 - 0
Jablonec
JAB
38%
25%
38%
78 83 5 0
25 Jun. 2025
LUD
Ludogorets
2 - 2
Legia Warszawa
WAR
49%
22%
28%
78 78 0 0
21 Jun. 2025
WAR
Legia Warszawa
2 - 3
Wisła Płock
PLO
34%
23%
43%
78 85 7 0