Lech Poznań vs Jagiellonia Bialystok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
WIS
0 - 1
LPO
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
GKS
2 - 3
LPO
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
UDI
2 - 1
LPO
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
LPO
2 - 2
UDI
46%
24%
31%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
FEY
0 - 1
LPO
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
JAG
3 - 0
ARK
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
GÓR
1 - 0
JAG
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
CRA
2 - 0
JAG
56%
26%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
GKS
2 - 0
JAG
62%
23%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
JAG
2 - 2
TSP
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |