Lecce vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
18.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
15.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
LEC
1 - 0
ASS
54%
28%
18%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
CAG
0 - 1
LEC
53%
28%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1985 |
LEC
2 - 2
TRI
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1985 |
CAM
2 - 1
LEC
47%
30%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
LEC
1 - 1
PRG
54%
29%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
SSS
1 - 1
PAR
53%
30%
17%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
TAR
0 - 0
SSS
45%
33%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1985 |
ARZ
1 - 0
SSS
46%
32%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1985 |
SSS
0 - 0
PAD
41%
32%
27%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
VAR
1 - 1
SSS
55%
28%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |