Lecce vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
18.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
RIM
3 - 1
LEC
54%
27%
19%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
LEC
0 - 1
VER
54%
29%
17%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
LAZ
4 - 0
LEC
65%
23%
12%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
LEC
1 - 0
SAM
50%
29%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
REG
0 - 0
LEC
54%
27%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
SPA
0 - 0
PES
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
BRE
2 - 0
SPA
65%
23%
13%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
SPA
1 - 0
PRG
38%
29%
34%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
SSS
1 - 0
SPA
48%
31%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
SPA
1 - 1
PAL
54%
25%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |