Lecce vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
12.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 0
LEC
24%
28%
49%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
LEC
2 - 2
FIA
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2018 |
NUO
0 - 1
LEC
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
LEC
0 - 0
MAT
58%
24%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
AKR
0 - 2
LEC
17%
23%
60%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
SIR
0 - 0
REG
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 2
SIR
38%
28%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FRA
0 - 0
SIR
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SIR
0 - 1
CAS
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
CAT
1 - 0
SIR
57%
24%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |