Lecce vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
46.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1994 |
ACM
0 - 0
LEC
74%
18%
8%
|
72 | 93 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1994 |
CAG
2 - 1
LEC
63%
23%
15%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1993 |
LEC
1 - 2
LAZ
28%
30%
43%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1993 |
REG
1 - 0
LEC
49%
28%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1993 |
LEC
1 - 3
INT
20%
28%
52%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1994 |
PAR
0 - 1
ACM
32%
29%
39%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1994 |
PAR
0 - 1
UDI
61%
24%
15%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1994 |
USF
0 - 3
PAR
41%
29%
31%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1994 |
PIA
1 - 1
PAR
29%
29%
42%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1993 |
PAR
1 - 3
NAP
42%
28%
31%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |