Lecce vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
FRO
0 - 4
LEC
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2010 |
LEC
1 - 0
PIA
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2010 |
ANC
1 - 1
LEC
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
SAS
1 - 1
LEC
36%
27%
38%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2010 |
LEC
1 - 0
VIC
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
MOD
1 - 0
SAL
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
ASC
2 - 0
MOD
52%
24%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
MOD
0 - 0
PAD
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2010 |
GAL
1 - 0
MOD
35%
26%
38%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2010 |
MOD
1 - 0
CES
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |