Lecce vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
16.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1988 |
FCC
0 - 0
LEC
46%
29%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1988 |
LEC
0 - 0
USC
55%
27%
18%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1987 |
BAR
2 - 0
LEC
45%
30%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
LEC
1 - 0
UDI
51%
25%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
TRI
2 - 0
LEC
42%
31%
27%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1988 |
MES
0 - 0
PIA
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1988 |
SSS
0 - 0
MES
46%
29%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1987 |
MES
1 - 1
MOD
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
ARZ
1 - 1
MES
47%
29%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
MES
3 - 0
BAR
48%
29%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |