Lecce vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
13.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1991 |
BOL
1 - 1
LEC
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1991 |
LEC
4 - 1
PAD
59%
25%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
PIA
1 - 0
LEC
30%
29%
41%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1991 |
LEC
2 - 1
CAS
70%
20%
10%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
ANC
2 - 1
LEC
44%
28%
28%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1991 |
AVE
3 - 2
ASL
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1991 |
ASL
0 - 0
TAR
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
COS
2 - 1
ASL
47%
29%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1991 |
ASL
0 - 0
MES
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
BRE
2 - 2
ASL
51%
28%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |