Lecce vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
41.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
BOL
2 - 1
LEC
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
LEC
1 - 1
NAP
41%
27%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 2
LEC
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
LEC
2 - 1
CAT
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ROM
3 - 2
LEC
76%
16%
9%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
FIO
1 - 0
SAM
57%
24%
19%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CAT
0 - 2
FIO
33%
28%
39%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
FIO
1 - 0
TOR
67%
20%
12%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
FIO
4 - 1
ROM
32%
25%
42%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
UDI
3 - 1
FIO
43%
27%
30%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |