Lecce vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CAD
1 - 1
LEC
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CTT
0 - 3
LEC
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
LEC
4 - 0
PAD
78%
14%
8%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
LEC
2 - 3
BOL
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
ASS
0 - 1
LEC
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
COM
1 - 1
PIS
37%
26%
38%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
CAG
2 - 1
COM
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
COM
1 - 0
PRO
79%
15%
6%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
COM
1 - 0
SAS
82%
13%
4%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
COM
0 - 1
GIL
68%
20%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |