Lecce vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
17º
15º
36
9º
20º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
93 | 96 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 71 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
66 | 70 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 66 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
60 | 63 |
7º
|
98.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 57 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
52 | 55 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
53 | 53 |
10º
|
78.5% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 47 |
11º
|
90.5% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
90.5% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 38 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
38% | |
|
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
41% | |
|
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
16º
|
43.5% | |
|
17º
|
34 | 34 |
17º
|
47.5% | |
|
18º
|
33 | 33 |
18º
|
62% | |
|
19º
|
29 | 29 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
16 | 16 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 0
LEC
81%
12%
6%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
INT
2 - 0
LEC
85%
11%
4%
|
82 | 97 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
LEC
2 - 1
FRO
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
EMP
1 - 1
LEC
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 1
BOL
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
ACM
4 - 1
CAG
81%
14%
5%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
CAG
0 - 0
EMP
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
VER
2 - 0
CAG
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
NAP
2 - 1
CAG
82%
12%
5%
|
81 | 95 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
CAG
2 - 1
SAS
35%
24%
41%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |