Lecce vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
PAR
1 - 1
LEC
69%
18%
12%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
LEC
3 - 1
VIC
45%
26%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
LEC
4 - 2
VER
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
BRE
2 - 2
LEC
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
LEC
1 - 4
JUV
24%
27%
49%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2001 |
BOL
1 - 0
VER
59%
23%
19%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
JUV
1 - 0
BOL
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
BOL
1 - 0
BRE
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
UDI
3 - 1
BOL
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
BOL
0 - 1
ATL
58%
23%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |