Lecce vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
LEC
0 - 1
AKR
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PAG
1 - 1
LEC
10%
21%
69%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 0
MES
76%
18%
7%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
AKR
1 - 3
LEC
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 0
LEC
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 1
MAR
73%
19%
8%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
USF
3 - 2
BEN
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CAT
1 - 3
BEN
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
0 - 0
NUO
55%
26%
20%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ISC
0 - 0
BEN
17%
25%
58%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |