Lecce vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
12%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
17.5%
6.6%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ISC
0 - 3
LEC
12%
23%
66%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 1
USF
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CAT
0 - 0
LEC
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 0
MAR
78%
16%
6%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
LEC
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ASM
1 - 4
MON
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ASM
3 - 0
ISC
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
BEN
3 - 0
ASM
67%
21%
12%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ASM
0 - 1
USF
19%
24%
57%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
LCR
0 - 0
ASM
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |