Lecce vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
18.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.1%
3.3%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 2
LEC
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 2
FCC
67%
21%
12%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
RAA
0 - 1
LEC
6%
18%
76%
|
72 | 32 | 40 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
LEC
1 - 0
NUO
84%
12%
4%
|
72 | 41 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 3
LEC
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ASM
1 - 0
CAS
37%
27%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SSB
0 - 0
ASM
56%
25%
20%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ASM
2 - 0
REG
16%
24%
61%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | +3 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
ASM
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ASM
0 - 0
MES
43%
28%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |