Lecce U18 vs Hellas Verona U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
42.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
14º
14º
25
1º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
89.5% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 9 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FRO
3 - 10
LEC
10%
16%
74%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 3
INT
21%
20%
59%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LEC
0 - 1
CAG
63%
19%
18%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FIO
2 - 1
LEC
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LEC
3 - 1
SAM
64%
19%
17%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hellas Verona U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
HEL
4 - 3
FRO
89%
7%
3%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CAG
2 - 3
HEL
28%
21%
51%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
HEL
2 - 4
FIO
51%
21%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 3
HEL
33%
21%
46%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
HEL
4 - 0
SAS
49%
21%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +2 |