Serie AB Sub 18 Round 26

Lecce U18 vs Cesena U18 analysis

Lecce U18 Cesena U18
28 ELO 41
-9% Tilt 2.5%
9060º General ELO ranking 6791º
331º Country ELO ranking 258º
ELO win probability
23.1%
Lecce U18
20.6%
Draw
56.3%
Cesena U18

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
Lecce U18
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
56.3%
Win probability
Cesena U18
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lecce U18
+34%
+6%
Cesena U18

Points and table prediction

Lecce U18
Their league position
Cesena U18
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
17º
13º
66
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Torino U18
70
73
90.5%
Cesena U18
66
69
32%
Roma U18
67
68
32%
Inter U18
59
60
66.5%
Genoa U18
56
57
54%
Lazio U18
54
55
87.5%
Empoli U18
51
51
100%
Sassuolo U18
47
48
100%
Parma U18
10º
43
46
38.5%
Fiorentina U18
43
44
10º
29.5%
 Bologna U18
11º
41
42
11º
23%
AC Monza U18
12º
39
42
12º
21%
Lecce U18
13º
38
41
13º
32%
Milan U18
14º
34
34
14º
57%
Hellas Verona U18
15º
33
33
15º
41%
Atalanta U18
16º
32
32
16º
63%
Cagliari U18
17º
24
24
17º
43.5%
Sampdoria U18
18º
23
24
18º
43.5%
Expected probabilities
Lecce U18
Cesena U18
100% 100%

ELO progression

Lecce U18
Cesena U18
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lecce U18
Lecce U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Mar. 2025
MIL
Milan U18
3 - 1
Lecce U18
LEC
30%
22%
48%
30 27 3 0
02 Mar. 2025
LEC
Lecce U18
1 - 2
Lazio U18
LAZ
32%
22%
46%
31 38 7 -1
22 Feb. 2025
TOR
Torino U18
3 - 2
Lecce U18
LEC
68%
17%
15%
31 42 11 0
17 Feb. 2025
LEC
Lecce U18
2 - 1
Atalanta U18
ATA
32%
22%
46%
30 34 4 +1
11 Feb. 2025
GEN
Genoa U18
2 - 2
Lecce U18
LEC
65%
18%
17%
30 40 10 0

Matches

Cesena U18
Cesena U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 2025
LAZ
Lazio U18
0 - 0
Cesena U18
CES
41%
25%
34%
40 39 1 0
02 Mar. 2025
CES
Cesena U18
3 - 3
Atalanta U18
ATA
57%
20%
23%
40 33 7 0
23 Feb. 2025
HEL
Hellas Verona U18
2 - 1
Cesena U18
CES
20%
19%
61%
41 27 14 -1
15 Feb. 2025
CES
Cesena U18
2 - 0
Sassuolo U18
SAS
62%
20%
19%
41 34 7 0
08 Feb. 2025
SAM
Sampdoria U18
1 - 2
Cesena U18
CES
22%
20%
58%
40 26 14 +1