Lecce U19 vs Crotone U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
EMP
1 - 1
LEC
50%
23%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LEC
0 - 1
CAG
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
UDI
0 - 2
LEC
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LEC
2 - 0
INT
32%
25%
44%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
CES
1 - 0
LEC
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SAL
1 - 0
CRO
37%
23%
40%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CRO
2 - 2
REG
44%
21%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ASC
3 - 1
CRO
58%
21%
22%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CRO
0 - 0
PIS
33%
22%
45%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MNP
0 - 2
CRO
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |