Lealtad Villaviciosa vs Narcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
AST
1 - 1
LEA
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
LEA
1 - 4
AVI
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
DPT
1 - 2
LEA
17%
23%
60%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
TUR
0 - 1
LEA
20%
25%
55%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
LEA
2 - 1
COL
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
NAR
3 - 2
NAI
28%
28%
45%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
AST
2 - 0
NAR
72%
18%
10%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
NAR
1 - 3
NAV
34%
27%
39%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
NAR
1 - 2
COL
47%
27%
25%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
RIB
1 - 0
NAR
50%
26%
25%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |