Le Puy vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
71.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
16.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Puy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
CON
0 - 0
LPV
66%
22%
12%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
LPV
0 - 1
DUN
28%
28%
44%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
ORL
1 - 2
LPV
67%
21%
12%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
LPV
0 - 2
BOU
23%
26%
51%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
THI
2 - 3
LPV
13%
24%
63%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
REN
2 - 1
NIC
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
NIC
0 - 0
LEN
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
TOT
1 - 1
NIC
76%
15%
8%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
NIC
0 - 3
ATL
24%
24%
52%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
NIC
1 - 2
GIR
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |