Burundi League Round 18

Le Messager Ngozi vs Les Lierres analysis

Le Messager Ngozi Les Lierres
52 ELO 49
-5.5% Tilt -7.8%
8080º General ELO ranking 8949º
Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
51.9%
Le Messager Ngozi
24.1%
Draw
24%
Les Lierres

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
Le Messager Ngozi
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24%
Win probability
Les Lierres
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Le Messager Ngozi
-31%
-12%
Les Lierres

ELO progression

Le Messager Ngozi
Les Lierres
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Le Messager Ngozi
Le Messager Ngozi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Dec. 2018
LLB
LLB Académic
1 - 0
Le Messager Ngozi
NGO
47%
26%
27%
52 53 1 0
09 Dec. 2018
KAY
Kayanza
0 - 1
Le Messager Ngozi
NGO
39%
25%
36%
51 48 3 +1
04 Nov. 2018
NGO
Le Messager Ngozi
2 - 1
Bumamuru
BUM
53%
24%
23%
51 49 2 0
27 Oct. 2018
BUJ
Le Messager de Bujumbura
1 - 2
Le Messager Ngozi
NGO
22%
24%
54%
51 40 11 0
21 Oct. 2018
NGO
Le Messager Ngozi
3 - 3
Flambeau du Centre
FLA
56%
23%
21%
51 47 4 0

Matches

Les Lierres
Les Lierres
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 2018
LLF
Les Lierres
0 - 0
Musongati
MFC
35%
27%
39%
50 55 5 0
01 Dec. 2018
LLF
Les Lierres
2 - 2
Kayanza
KAY
54%
24%
22%
51 48 3 -1
25 Nov. 2018
RUK
Rukinzo
0 - 2
Les Lierres
LLF
53%
24%
24%
49 50 1 +2
04 Nov. 2018
ANM
Aigle Noir
2 - 0
Les Lierres
LLF
72%
18%
11%
49 60 11 0
27 Oct. 2018
LLF
Les Lierres
0 - 0
Bumamuru
BUM
47%
24%
29%
49 49 0 0