Le Messager Ngozi vs Aigle Noir analysis


40	ELO	40
-6.9%	Tilt	-8.4%
6560º	General ELO ranking	6387º
8º	Country ELO ranking	5º
ELO win probability

47.9%

Le Messager Ngozi

24.3%

Draw

27.8%

Aigle Noir

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

47.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%

24.3%

Draw

0-0

5.8%

1-1

11.4%

2-2

5.7%

3-3

1.3%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

24.3%

27.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+73%

+71%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches