Le Messager de Bujumbura vs Flambeau de l'Est analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
43.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Messager de Bujumbura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
NCF
1 - 1
BUJ
63%
23%
15%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BUJ
1 - 2
NGO
22%
24%
54%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
LLF
2 - 1
BUJ
69%
19%
12%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
KAY
2 - 1
BUJ
70%
18%
11%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
BUJ
0 - 1
RUK
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Flambeau de l'Est
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
FLA
0 - 1
BUJ
37%
30%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
FLA
1 - 1
FLA
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
FLA
1 - 3
MFC
29%
28%
43%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
ATH
0 - 1
FLA
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FLA
0 - 0
KAY
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |