League U19 Grupo A Jor. 15

Le Havre Sub 19 vs Caen Sub 19 analysis

Le Havre Sub 19 Caen Sub 19
30 ELO 26
-5.2% Tilt 1.5%
8433º General ELO ranking 8846º
228º Country ELO ranking 248º
ELO win probability
56.8%
Le Havre Sub 19
21%
Draw
22.3%
Caen Sub 19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
Le Havre Sub 19
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
22.3%
Win probability
Caen Sub 19
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Le Havre Sub 19
-26%
-3%
Caen Sub 19

Points and table prediction

Le Havre Sub 19
Their league position
Caen Sub 19
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
14º
33
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lens Sub 19
58
58
100%
PSG U19
52
52
100%
Amiens SC Sub 19
51
51
100%
Montfermeil Sub 19
47
47
100%
Lille Sub 19
37
37
100%
Stade de Reims Sub 19
36
36
100%
Le Havre Sub 19
35
35
100%
Dunkerque Sub 19
34
34
100%
Valenciennes Sub 19
33
33
0%
Caen Sub 19
10º
33
33
10º
0%
USM Saran Sub 19
11º
33
33
11º
0%
Orléans Sub 19
12º
24
24
12º
100%
Gonfreville Sub 19
13º
19
19
13º
100%
Drancy Sub 19
14º
18
18
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Le Havre Sub 19
Caen Sub 19
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Le Havre Sub 19
Caen Sub 19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Le Havre Sub 19
Le Havre Sub 19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2022
GON
Gonfreville Sub 19
1 - 3
Le Havre Sub 19
HAV
12%
16%
72%
30 16 14 0
20 Nov. 2022
HAV
Le Havre Sub 19
2 - 3
Lille Sub 19
LIL
62%
20%
19%
31 23 8 -1
13 Nov. 2022
AMI
Amiens SC Sub 19
1 - 1
Le Havre Sub 19
HAV
64%
18%
18%
30 36 6 +1
06 Nov. 2022
HAV
Le Havre Sub 19
7 - 1
Stade de Reims Sub 19
REI
62%
19%
19%
29 20 9 +1
30 Oct. 2022
SRA
USM Saran Sub 19
1 - 1
Le Havre Sub 19
HAV
11%
15%
74%
30 15 15 -1

Matches

Caen Sub 19
Caen Sub 19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2022
CAE
Caen Sub 19
1 - 3
Orléans Sub 19
ORL
61%
20%
19%
27 23 4 0
20 Nov. 2022
DKQ
Dunkerque Sub 19
3 - 0
Caen Sub 19
CAE
11%
15%
74%
30 15 15 -3
13 Nov. 2022
CAE
Caen Sub 19
2 - 1
PSG U19
PSG
15%
18%
67%
26 41 15 +4
06 Nov. 2022
SRA
USM Saran Sub 19
2 - 0
Caen Sub 19
CAE
13%
16%
71%
28 15 13 -2
23 Oct. 2022
CAE
Caen Sub 19
2 - 1
Valenciennes Sub 19
VAL
49%
23%
29%
27 29 2 +1
X