French League U19 Group A Round 15

Le Havre U19 vs Caen U19 analysis

Le Havre U19 Caen U19
33 ELO 29
-5.2% Tilt 1.5%
8643º General ELO ranking 6108º
298º Country ELO ranking 147º
ELO win probability
56.8%
Le Havre U19
21%
Draw
22.3%
Caen U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
Le Havre U19
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
22.3%
Win probability
Caen U19
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Le Havre U19
-19%
+51%
Caen U19

Points and table prediction

Le Havre U19
Their league position
Caen U19
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
14º
33
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lens U19
58
58
100%
PSG U19
52
52
100%
Amiens SC U19
51
51
100%
Montfermeil U19
47
47
100%
Lille U19
37
37
100%
Stade de Reims U19
36
36
100%
Le Havre U19
35
35
100%
Dunkerque U19
34
34
100%
Valenciennes U19
33
33
0%
Caen U19
10º
33
33
10º
0%
USM Saran U19
11º
33
33
11º
0%
Orléans U19
12º
24
24
12º
100%
Gonfreville U19
13º
19
19
13º
100%
Drancy U19
14º
18
18
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Le Havre U19
Caen U19
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Le Havre U19
Caen U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Le Havre U19
Le Havre U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2022
GON
Gonfreville U19
1 - 3
Le Havre U19
HAV
12%
16%
72%
33 19 14 0
20 Nov. 2022
HAV
Le Havre U19
2 - 3
Lille U19
LIL
62%
20%
19%
33 26 7 0
13 Nov. 2022
AMI
Amiens SC U19
1 - 1
Le Havre U19
HAV
64%
18%
18%
33 39 6 0
06 Nov. 2022
HAV
Le Havre U19
7 - 1
Stade de Reims U19
REI
62%
19%
19%
32 23 9 +1
30 Oct. 2022
SRA
USM Saran U19
1 - 1
Le Havre U19
HAV
11%
15%
74%
33 17 16 -1

Matches

Caen U19
Caen U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2022
CAE
Caen U19
1 - 3
Orléans U19
ORL
61%
20%
19%
30 26 4 0
20 Nov. 2022
DKQ
Dunkerque U19
3 - 0
Caen U19
CAE
11%
15%
74%
33 18 15 -3
13 Nov. 2022
CAE
Caen U19
2 - 1
PSG U19
PSG
15%
18%
67%
29 44 15 +4
06 Nov. 2022
SRA
USM Saran U19
2 - 0
Caen U19
CAE
13%
16%
71%
31 18 13 -2
23 Oct. 2022
CAE
Caen U19
2 - 1
Valenciennes U19
VAL
49%
23%
29%
30 31 1 +1